Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data Theory and Practice
Title:
Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data Theory and Practice
ISBN:
9783030311506
Edition:
1st ed. 2020.
Publication Information New:
Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer, 2020.
Physical Description:
XIII, 719 p. 80 illus., 62 illus. in color. online resource.
Series:
Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics, 52
Contents:
Introduction: Sources and Types of Big Data for Macroeconomic Forecasting -- Capturing Dynamic Relationships: Dynamic Factor Models -- Factor Augmented Vector Autoregressions, Panel VARs, and Global VARs -- Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions -- Volatility Forecasting in a Data Rich Environment -- Neural Networks -- Seeking Parsimony: Penalized Time Series Regression -- Principal Component and Static Factor Analysis -- Subspace Methods -- Variable Selection and Feature Screening -- Dealing with Model Uncertainty: Frequentist Averaging -- Bayesian Model Averaging -- Bootstrap Aggregating and Random Forest -- Boosting -- Density Forecasting -- Forecast Evaluation -- Further Issues: Unit Roots and Cointegration -- Turning Points and Classification -- Robust Methods for High-dimensional Regression and Covariance Matrix Estimation -- Frequency Domain -- Hierarchical Forecasting.
Abstract:
This book surveys big data tools used in macroeconomic forecasting and addresses related econometric issues, including how to capture dynamic relationships among variables; how to select parsimonious models; how to deal with model uncertainty, instability, non-stationarity, and mixed frequency data; and how to evaluate forecasts, among others. Each chapter is self-contained with references, and provides solid background information, while also reviewing the latest advances in the field. Accordingly, the book offers a valuable resource for researchers, professional forecasters, and students of quantitative economics.
Added Author:
Added Corporate Author:
Electronic Access:
Full Text Available From Springer Nature Economics and Finance 2020 Packages
Language:
English