I Energy Demand Modeling -- References -- 1 The Energy Demand Forecasting System of the National Energy Board -- 1.1 Overview of the Model -- 1.2 Recent Research in the Residential, Commercial, and Industrial Sectors -- 1.3 Applications of the Model -- References -- 2 A Policy Model of Canadian Interfuel Substitution Demands -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Approach -- 2.3 Model Specifications -- 2.4 Econometric Considerations -- 2.5 Estimation Results -- 2.6 Conclusions -- References -- 3 Inflationary Expectations and the Demand for Capital, Labor, and Energy in Canadian Manufacturing Industries -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.2 Incorporation of Inflationary Expectations -- 3.3 Methodology and Data -- 3.4 Results and Policy Implications -- 3.5 Conclusions -- References -- 4 The Derived Demand for Energy in the Presence of Supply Constraints -- 4.1 Introduction -- 4.2 A Model of Producer Behavior Subject to Supply Constraints -- 4.3 An Estimated Production Structure for Canadian Manufacturing -- 4.4 Constrained Demand and Two-Stage Translog Model -- 4.5 An Empirical Example -- 4.6 Further Extensions and Applications -- References -- 5 The Residential Demand for Electric Energy and Natural Gas in Canada -- 5.1 Introduction -- 5.2 The Model -- 5.3 Estimation -- 5.4 Results and Interpretation -- 5.5 Conclusions -- References -- 6 An Econometric Model of Alberta Electricity Demand -- 6.1 Introduction -- 6.2 Electricity Prices -- 6.3 Residential Sector -- 6.4 Commercial Sector -- 6.5 Industrial Sector -- 6.6 Conclusion -- References -- 7 A Model for Forecasting Passenger Car Gasoline Demand -- 7.1 Introduction -- 7.2 New Car Sales -- 7.3 Market Share Equations -- 7.4 Probabilities of Survival -- 7.5 Estimation of Mileage Traveled -- 7.6 Fuel Economies and Urban/Nonurban Travel Split -- 7.7 Applications of the Model -- References -- II Energy Supply Modeling -- References -- 8 Choosing the Overall Size of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve -- 8.1 Introduction and Background -- 8.2 The Limitations of Cost-Benefit Analysis -- 8.3 A Parametric Bimatrix Game -- 8.4 Reserve Size and Embargo Length -- 8.5 Some Numerical Results -- 8.6 Conclusions -- 8.7 Post Scriptum -- References -- 9 Economic Modeling of Energy Supply from Burning Wood Wastes at British Columbia Pulp and Paper Mills -- 9.1 Introduction -- 9.2 Description of the Model -- 9.3 Evaluating the Economics of Fossil Fuel Replacement -- 9.4 Evaluating the Economics of Electricity Generation -- 9.5 Energy Pricing and Wood Waste Supply -- 9.6 Conclusions -- References -- 10 Simulation of Tar Sands Mining Operations -- 10.1 Introduction -- 10.2 Historical Background -- 10.3 Technical Background -- 10.4 Simulation Effort -- 10.5 Selection of Mining Equipment -- 10.6 Appendix A -- 10.7 Appendix B -- 10.8 Addendum (October 30, 1978) -- 11 A Model of Energy Supply from Western Canada -- 11.1 Introduction -- 11.2 Structure of the Model -- 11.3 Illustrative Model Solutions and Comparative Statics -- 11.4 Concluding Remarks -- References -- 12 The Incorporation of New Technologies in Energy Supply Estimation -- 12.1 Introduction -- 12.2 Scope of the Approach -- 12.3 The Model -- 12.4 Observations on the Model -- References -- III Coal and Transportation Modeling -- References -- 13 Modeling U.S. Coal Supply and Demand -- 13.1 Introduction -- 13.2 Coal in Transition Project -- 13.3 Coal Development Scenarios -- 13.4 Model Results -- 13.5 Assessment of Energy Infrastructure Requirements -- References -- 14 The Transport of Energy by Rail -- 14.1 Introduction -- 14.2 Growth of Rail Capacity -- 14.3 Present Activities at CN -- 14.4 Concluding Remarks -- 15 Coal Slurry Pipelines: A Technology Assessment -- 15.1 Technology Assessment and the Role of the OTA -- 15.2 The Slurry Pipelines Study: An Overview -- 15.3 Modeling Techniques Used -- 15.4 The Results -- References -- 16 Costing the Movement of Western Canadian Coal to Thunder Bay: An Incremental Approach -- 16.1 Introduction -- 16.2 Systems Analysis -- 16.3 Tariff Schedules and Analysis -- 16.4 Policy Implications -- References -- 17 Simulation Modeling of Coal Terminals -- 17.1 Justification for Simulation Modeling -- 17.2 Modeling Considerations at Coal Terminals -- 17.3 Case Study: Richards Bay, South Africa -- 17.4 Conclusion -- 18 A Short Run Model of the World Petroleum Network Based on Decomposition -- 18.1 Introduction -- 18.2 Overall Description of Martinet -- 18.3 Computational Improvements -- Reference -- IV The Problems and Interactions of Energy, Environment, and Conservation -- References -- 19 Projections of Solar Energy Utilization: A Guide to Federal Planning -- 19.1 Introduction -- 19.2 Capturing the Dynamics of the Solar Transition: The Spurr Model -- 19.3 The Buildings Components: An Example -- 19.4 Summary of Projections of Solar Energy Utilization -- References -- 20 Modeling the Economic and Environmental Impacts of Alternative Electric Utility Futures -- 20.1 Introduction -- 20.2 The Utility Simulation Model -- 20.3 Applications of the Modeling and its Results -- 20.4 Usefulness of the Integrated Approach to Modeling -- References -- 21 Systems Approach to Assessing Electricity Conservation Initiatives -- 21.1 Introduction -- 21.2 The Rate Simulation Model -- 21.3 Concepts of Technological Modeling -- 21.4 Results of Applying the Model to Alternative Rate Structures -- References -- 22 Saving Half of California's Energy and Peak Power in Buildings and Appliances -- 22.1 Overview -- 22.2 Case Studies: Optimized Buildings and Appliances -- References.